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Paul Scham

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Israel’s upcoming political crisis
Photo by DEBBIE HILL/POOL/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • Israel’s upcoming political crisis

    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces a potentially disastrous showdown within the next month that could shake his hold on power, unless he manages to deter the strongly held positions of the foreign and domestic politicians and political forces on which he is dependent.

    January 30, 2025

    In a high-risk move, Israel ramps up escalation against Hezbollah
    Photo by OLIVER MARSDEN/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • In a high-risk move, Israel ramps up escalation against Hezbollah

    Over the past few days, the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has entered a precarious new phase, with Israel carrying out both unconventional attacks and heavy airstrikes against the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group, while Hezbollah has responded with an increase in retaliatory fire. 

    September 23, 2024

    An Israeli ground assault on Gaza requires an endgame
    Photo by GIL COHEN MAGEN/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • An Israeli ground assault on Gaza requires an endgame

    Though it has mobilized 360,000 reservists, the highest number since its 1982 invasion of Lebanon, in pursuing a large-scale ground invasion of Gaza Israel risks unprecedentedly high casualties of its own and massive condemnation by both the Arab world and the West if Palestinian deaths, already reported as exceeding 3,000, rise to multiples of that figure.

    October 18, 2023

    As Israel-Hamas war begins, it’s not too late to shape this historic inflection point
    Photo by Alexi J. Rosenfeld/Getty Images
  • Commentary
  • As Israel-Hamas war begins, it’s not too late to shape this historic inflection point

    Hamas’ murderous raid on Oct. 7, resulting in the deaths of more than 1,300 Israelis, mostly civilians, may well turn out to be a consequential inflection point, having unleashed political and popular forces that could lead in a positive or, just as likely, extremely negative direction.

    October 13, 2023

    A difficult road ahead for Israel’s far-right government despite its victory
    Photo by RONALDO SCHEMIDT/AFP via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • A difficult road ahead for Israel’s far-right government despite its victory

    On July 24, the Knesset voted to limit the powers of the Supreme Court to strike down legislation as the first step in a comprehensive “judicial overhaul” orchestrated by Israel’s far-right government. This is by no means the “end” of Israeli democracy. To the contrary, the coalition that forced it through is itself the product of some unlikely circumstances and may not survive much longer, especially given the economic, security, and diplomatic chal-lenges it will very shortly face.

    July 26, 2023

    The Israeli protests: What’s happened and what’s likely to come
    Photo by Saeed Qaq/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images
  • Analysis
  • The Israeli protests: What’s happened and what’s likely to come

    Monday, March 27 was supposed to be a red-letter day for the new far-right Israeli coalition government, when it planned to slide through the Knesset the central provision of its “judicial overhaul” bill, comfortably ahead of the Passover recess beginning on April 2. Instead, it ended up being one of the most extraordinary days in Israeli history. Spurred by the “firing” of Defense Minister Yoav Gallant by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu the evening before, the demonstrations against the overhaul, which had been building in intensity for over two months, became overwhelming.

    April 3, 2023